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Page Title: FORECASTING SPECIAL SITUATIONS
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TEMPERATURE
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SUMMARY

25NP0041 Figure 4-25.-Illustration of the location of the maximum snow area. The low center moved to Iowa in 24 hours, and the maximum snow area spread northeast along the area 50 to 75 miles either side of a line through Minneapolis to Houghton, Michigan. causing   daytime   temperature   readings   to   be relatively  lower  than  normally  expected,  and nighttime temperatures to be relatively higher. The stability  of  the  lapse  rate  has  a  marked  effect  on insolation  and  terrestrial  radiation.  With  a  stable lapse  rate,  there  is  less  vertical  extent  to  heat; therefore, surface heating takes place more rapidly. With an unstable lapse rate, the opposite is true. If there is an inversion, there is less cooling, since the surface temperature is lower than that of the inversion layer; that is, at some point the energy radiated by the surface is balanced by that radiated by the inversion layer. Advection One of the biggest factors affecting temperature is the  advection  of  air.  Advection  is  particularly  marked in  its  effect  on  temperature  with  frontal  passage.  If  a frontal passage is expected during the forecast period, the temperature must be considered. Advection within an air mass may also be important. This is particularly true of sea and land breezes and mountain breezes. They affect  the  maximum  and  minimum  temperatures  and their time of occurrence. Vertical Heat Transport Vertical heat transport is a temperature factor. It is considerably affected by the windspeed. With strong wind there is less heating and cooling than with light wind or a calm because the heat energy gained or lost is distributed through a deeper layer when the turbulence is  greater. Evaporation  and  Condensation Evaporation   and   condensation   affect   the temperature of an air mass. When cool rainfalls through a warmer air mass, evaporation takes place, taking heat from  the  air.  This  often  affects  the  maximum temperature  on  a  summer  day  on  which  afternoon thundershowers   occur.   The   temperature   may   be affected at the surface by condensation to a small extent during fog formation, raising the temperature a degree or so because of the latent heat of condensation. FORECASTING SPECIAL SITUATIONS The surface and aloft situations that are indicative of the onset of cold waves and heat waves are discussed in the following text. 4-31

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