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Page Title: Figure 3-9.-Vertical circulation over developing high.
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Rules for Forecasting the Intensity of Highs

levels, which may remain quite cold. A warming of 10°C per day at the 500-hPa level is not unusual. Such a rate of warming is not entirely due to subsidence but probably has a considerable contribution from warm advection.  However,  continuity  considerations  suggest that the convergence in the 400- to 200-hPa stratum produces  some  sinking  and  adiabatic  warming  in  the lower  troposphere.  See  figure  3-9. Thus, in the building of anticyclones, there must be a piling up of air at high levels due to horizontal velocity convergence in the 400- to 200-hPa stratum, which results  in  the  stratospheric  cooling  observed  with developing   anticyclones.    Insufficient  outflow  at  very high levels results in an accumulation of mass. This is roughly the mechanism thought to be responsible for the development  of  high-pressure  systems.  The  high-level increase  of  mass  overcompensates  the  low  tropospheric decrease  of  density,  and  the  high-level  effect  thus determines the sign of increase of pressure at the surface when highs are intensifying. See figure 3-9. The development of anticyclones appears to be just the reverse of the deepening of cyclones. Outside of cold  source  regions,  and  frequently  in  cold  source regions,  high-level  anticyclogenesis  appears  to  be associated with an accumulation of mass in the lower stratosphere accompanied by ceding. In many cases this stratospheric cooling maybe advective, but more frequently  the  cooling  appears  to  be  clearly  dynamic; that is, due to the ascent of air resulting from horizontal convergence in the upper troposphere. Studies  of  successive  soundings  accompanying anticyclogenesis  outside  cold  source  regions  show progressive warming throughout the troposphere. This constitutes a negative contribution to anticyclogenesis. In  other  words,  outside  of  cold  source  regions,  during anticyclone development, the decrease in DENSITY in the  troposphere  is  overcompensated  by  an  increase  in Figure 3-9.-Vertical circulation over developing high. 3-13

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