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Page Title: Isallobaric Indications
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FORECASTING THE MOVEMENT OF SURFACE PRESSURE SYSTEMS
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Isallobaric  Indications Lows tend to move toward the center of the largest 3-hour pressure falls. This is normally the point where the maximum warm air advection is occurring. Figure 3-4 shows the movement of an occluding wave  cyclone  through  its  stages  of  development  in relation to the surface pressure tendencies. This one factor cannot be used alone, but, compared with other indications,  you  may  arrive  at  the  final  forecasted position of the lows. Too, you should remember that the process depicted in this illustration takes place over several days, and many other factors enter into the subsequent   movement. Circular,   or   nearly   circular,   cyclonic   centers generally move in the direction of the greatest pressure falls.  Anticyclone  centers  move  in  the  direction  of  the greatest pressure rises. Troughs  move  in  the  direction  of  the  greatest pressure falls, and ridges move in the direction of the greatest pressure rises. See figure 3-5. Relative to Warm Sector Isobars Warm, unoccluded lows move in the direction of the warm sector isobars, if those isobars are straight. These lows usually have straight paths (fig. 3-6, view A), whereas old occluded cyclones usually have paths that are curved northward (fig. 3-6, view B). The speed of the  cyclones  approximates  the  speed  of  the  warm  air. Whenever either of these rules is in conflict with upper air rules, it is better to use the upper air rules. Relative to Frontal Movement The movement of the pressure systems must be reconciled  with  the  movement  of  the  associated  fronts if the fronts are progged independently of the pressure systems. Two general rules are in use regarding the relationship of the movement of lows to the movement of  the  associated  fronts:  First,  warm  core  lows  are steered along the front if the front is stationary or nearly so; and second, lows tend to move with approximately the warm front speed and somewhat slower than the cold front  speed. Figure 3-4.-Movement of occluding wave cyclone in relation to isallobaric centers. 3-4

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