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Page Title: UPPER AIR CHARTS — THE FORMATION OF NEW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
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CHAPTER 3 FORECASTING SURFACE SYSTEMS
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Aerographers Mate 1 & C
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FORECASTING THE MOVEMENT OF SURFACE PRESSURE SYSTEMS

many  cases  this  cloud  may  be  referred  to  as  the  PVA Max. See figure 3-1. Wave  or  low  development  along  an  already  existing front may be detected from satellite imagery. In figure 3- 2,  a  secondary  vorticity  center  is  shown  approaching  a frontal zone. The  cloud  mass  at  A  (fig.  3-2)  is  associated  with  a secondary   vorticity   center   that   has   moved   near   the front.  Interaction  between  this  vorticity  center  and  the front  will  result  in  the  development  of  another  wave near B. By  recognizing  the  vorticity  center  and  determining its   movement   from   successive   satellite   passes,   the forecaster   should   be   able   to   accurately   predict   the formation of a second low-pressure system. UPPER AIR CHARTS — THE FORMATION OF NEW PRESSURE SYSTEMS Computer  drawn  charts  also  provide  the  forecaster with another tool for forecasting the development of new pressure systems. These prognostic charts maybe used to directly prepare a forecast, or the  forecaster  may  use  a sequence of them to construct other charts. A very beneficial chart used in determining  changes in   surface   pressure,   frontogenesis,   frontolysis,   and development  of  new  pressure  systems  is  the  advection chart.     The normal methods of Figure 3-1.-A well developed, comma-shaped cloud is the result of a moving vorticity center to the rear of the polar front. The comma cloud is composed of middle and high clouds over the lower-level cumulus and is preceded by a clear slot. Figure 3-2.-Frontal wave development. construction   are   time-consuming;   however,   by   using computer   charts,   the   chart   may   be   more   readily constructed. The   700-hPa,   1000-hPa,   and   500-hPa   thickness charts  should  be  used  in  construction  of  the  advection chart.   The   700-hPa   contours   approximate   the   mean wind vector between the 1000- and 500-hPa levels. On a 1000-  to  500-hPa  thickness  chart,  the  contours  depict thermal  wind,  which  blows  parallel  to  the  thickness lines.  Meteorologically  speaking,  we  know  that  lines  of greater  thickness  represent  relatively  warmer  air  than lines   of   less   thickness.   If   the   established   advection pattern is replacing higher thickness values with  lower thickness  values,  then  it  must  be  advecting  cooler  air (convergence    and    divergence    not    considered).    The opposite  of  this  is  also  true.  The  changing  of  thickness values  can  be  determined  by  the  mean  wind  vector within  the  layer  of  air.  The  700-hPa  contours  will  be used as the mean wind vectors. The  advection  chart  should  be  constructed  in  the following manner: 1.  Place  the  thickness  chart  over  the  700-mb  chart and line it up properly. 2. Remember that the 700-hPa contours represent the mean wind vector. Place a red dot indicating warm air at all intersections where the mean wind vector is blowing from higher to lower thickness values. 3. Use the same procedure to place  a  blue  dot  at  all intersections  where  the  mean  wind  vector  is  blowing from lower to higher thickness values. 3-2

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