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Page Title: FORECASTING STRATUS FORMATION AND DISSIPATION
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DISSIPATION
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Aerographers Mate 1 & C
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AIRCRAFT  ICING

the expected cooling is greater than the late afternoon spread, either fog or low clouds should be expected. Wind  velocity  will  determine  which  of  the  two conditions  will  form. FORECASTING  STRATUS  FORMATION AND  DISSIPATION Fog  and  stratus  forecasting  are  so  closely  tied together that many of the fog forecasting rules and conditions  previously  mentioned  also  apply  to  the forecasting of stratus clouds. Determining the Base and Top of a Stratus Layer One of the first steps in forecasting the dissipation of  stratus  is  to  determine  the  thickness  of  the  stratus layer.  The  procedure  is  an  follows: 1.  Determine  a  representative  mixing  ratio between the surface and the base of the inversion. 2. Project this mixing ratio line upward through the sounding. 3. The intersection of the average mixing ratio line with  the  temperature  curve  gives  the  approximate  base and maximum top of the stratus. Point A in figure 5-19 is the base of the stratus layer, and point B is the maximum top of the layer. Point A is the initial base of the layer; but as heating occurs during the morning, the base  will  lift.  Point  B  represents  the  maximum  top  of the stratus layer; although in the very early morning, it might lie closer to the base of the inversion. However, as heating occurs during the day, the top of the stratus layer will also rise and will be approximated by point B. If the temperature and the dewpoint are the same at the top of the inversion, the stratus will extend to this level. To determine the height of the base and the top of the stratus layer, use either the method previously outlined  for  fog,  or  the  pressure  altitude  scale. Determining Dissipation Temperatures To determine the temperature necessary for the dissipation of a stratus layer, the following steps are provided: 1.  From  point  A  in  figure  5-19,  follow  the  dry adiabat to the surface level. The temperature of the dry adiabat at the surface level is the temperature required to be reached for stratus dissipation to begin. This is point  C. Figure 5-19.-Sounding showing the base and the top of stratus layers. Also note temperature at which dissipation begins and temperature when dissipation is complete. 5-27

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